Dated market forecast. The original cycle, supply and price expectations are retained for accountability, not as a current investment claim.
Reviewing the forecast against outcomes
- Fix the original publication period and its stated assumptions.
- Compare CCR, RCR and OCR matched transactions over the same intervals.
- Separate launch mix, unit size and tenure effects from regional labels.
- Review rental, supply and liquidity outcomes rather than headline prices alone.
- Use current financing, duties and holding costs for any present decision.
Related historical frameworks include the chasm gap, timing the market, and the age issue.